We started off cold and dry this morning. Freezing conditions were pretty widespread over the region.
High pressure was overhead last night which gave us mostly clear skies and calm conditions. So temperatures dropped big time. As the sun came up this morning, the opposite happened. Due to the very dry air, temperatures started rising fast under partly cloudy skies. Temperatures jumped about 10 degrees in 2 hours. However, this won’t last. Clouds will increase today as high pressure moves offshore.
Warmer/more humid air will try to move in at the mid levels of the atmosphere (more technically the troposphere). This will ride over our cooler air at the surface. We call this overrunning. It will not only increase the clouds today, but will also allow for rain showers to move. We’ll have a few showers by the mid afternoon.
However, the rain will become widespread by the late afternoon into the evening.
It will definitely be soggy for the evening commute. At least the wind won’t be strong today. They will run out of the southeast at 5-10mph. They may increase to 8-12 by the evening. High temps will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. The rain will continue through tonight. It will push to the coast by tomorrow morning. As we go through the day a weak area of low pressure will move through the region. This will bring in more scattered showers by the afternoon.
The scattered showers will continue into the evening. The wind won’t be too strong in the morning. As the system moves out to sea, the wind will pick up out of the west. It will run at 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph.
This system won’t be a big deal for us. The tide shouldn’t be a problem except for a little more nuisance tidal flooding over the sound-side of the Outer Banks. However, it will become a 2nd nor’easter for the northeast states. Some of that region could see about a foot of snow. At least it will be a faster mover this time. So tidal flooding shouldn’t be as bad. High pressure will build in behind that system. We’ll have quiet weather for a couple of days. Thursday through Saturday we’ll have partly cloudy skies with highs in the 50s. By Sunday another area of low pressure will gather strength. It will move over our region on Sunday. This will bring us a high chance for rain. The breeze will pick up a bit, but it won’t be as strong as the last system. As the system moves offshore, it will become nor’easter number 3 for the Northeast. It will be a mess again up there as they have more rain, snow, wind, and tides. We’ll have some wind here and rain on Monday. In fact it might end as a wintry mix by Monday night. We’ll see. One difference between next weekend’s system and last weekend’s is that the next system will move faster to the northeast. We’ll have updates on all of these systems. Stay tuned!
One thing before I go. Lots of people (including myself) have said that we have been in an unusual weather pattern lately. Locally, February of 2018 was the 3rd warmest on record. We finished just behind last year. In that same vein, the North Pole recently had some weird weather as well. They rose to above freezing for a brief time. This was in late February. While that may not sound too crazy. That was about 36 degrees above normal. Here is the article with more information: Warm North Pole.
It was shortly after that London got slammed with a historic snow storm.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler