Blog: Warming Up Today. Rain Returns This Weekend.

Future Trak Sunday Afternoon

As expected it got pretty cold this morning. Temps bottomed out in the 30s and 40s.

Cold Morning Temps

There was some patchy frost inland, but luckily it wasn’t widespread.  Last night we had clear skies, no wind, and dry conditions.  So that allowed the temperatures to drop.  High pressure lies over the region today, but it is starting to move offshore.

Satellite/Radar

This will have an effect on our weather today.  With the high offshore our local winds will start to turn out of the south.   The strong sunshine and dry air will help to bump the temperatures up to near 70 degrees this afternoon.  We are looking at a dry day with dew points mainly in the 40s.

Tonight we’ll see a few increasing clouds.  Winds will still be out of the south, and the humidity will increase slightly.  So it won’t be quite as cold.  Lows will be in the low 50s with many 40s inland.

Tomorrow we’ll have some moisture pushing into the region.  Clouds will be increasing.  The models show an isolated shower already by tomorrow morning.

Future Trak (Saturday Morning)

The surface will be pretty dry though   So I don’t expect much, if anything.  However, there will probably be some isolated showers later in the day.

Future Trak (Saturday Afternoon)

There will definitely be more clouds tomorrow, but overall I think it will be a decent day.  Highs will be in the mid 70s.  Rain and moisture will increase Saturday night.  We’ll have some scattered showers by Sunday morning.

Future Trak (Sunday Morning)

Then rain will become widespread by the midday and the afternoon.

Future Trak Sunday Afternoon

The models have recently backed off of the very heavy rain.  They now have the deeper moisture more offshore.  However, they do have the downpours just a little offshore.  A large cold front will be moving in from the west, and the moisture will stream up ahead of it.  An area of low pressure will probably form along the front, but the models have it broader and more subtle over our region compared to yesterday.  If the front were to slow down, then that would allow for heavier rain to back up to the west into our region and along the coast.  So that is a possibility.  For now…here is the latest rainfall forecast from Future Trak:

Rainfall Forecast

I think the region will get closer to an inch.  Due to the length of time for the rain.  If that front slows down, then we’ll see higher amounts.  We’ll see.  Stay tuned this weekend to see if that happens.  The winds will be pretty breezy behind the front late Sunday into early Monday.  Highs will be in the 60s both days.  Then for Halloween the weather looks cool and quiet.  Highs will be in the upper 60s on Tuesday.  We’ll have mostly clear skies.  Temps will probably be near 60 in the evening.  That will be good for the thicker/bigger costumes, but maybe not so good for the thinner materials.

There is still that disturbance down in the western Caribbean.  Frankly, I’m tired of talking about it.  I think I’ve said for 4 days now that it COULD form.  Today is no different except the chance is a bit higher.  There is a 50% chance for formation in the next 2-3 days.

Tropical Satellite

Whether or not it forms, it will likely bring heavy rain to western Cuba and possibly to Jamaica.  It will interact with the cold front early next week.  It will probably just shoot northeast as a broad area of low pressure, and stay out to sea.  Stay tuned for updates.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler

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