It was a little chilly this morning as temps fell to the 40s over most of the area. However, some even colder air is on the way. It may sound like a complaint, but truthfully…I’m loving it.
Along with the chill in the air, there were a few showers this morning. The cold front at the surface had moved far offshore, but an upper level disturbance was moving directly overhead.
This disturbance will move through during the morning. Then it will move out by around midday. High pressure will build-in from the southwest. We’ll have highs in the low 60s this afternoon with lots of sunshine. Winds will be out of the northwest at 10-15mph with gusts up to 20mph. By tonight the high pressure system will be closer to our region. We’ll have clear skies and light winds. It will be dry with dew points in the 30s. So low temperatures are going to drop. We’ll bottom out in the mid 40s in the metro, but there will be some upper 30s to low 40s inland. There could be some patchy frost inland as well. Bring in the sensitive plants and pets.
Tomorrow we’ll be dry and temps will warm up through the day. We’ll have highs near 70 with lots of sunshine. Saturday also looks good. We’ll be partly cloudy with highs in the mid 70s. On Sunday a cold front will approach from the west. It will slowly move into the region through the day. A large plume of moisture will stream up from the south. This will allow a line of rain to develop along most of the east coast.
An area of low pressure will also form along the front. This will move northward between Sunday and Monday. We could see some heavy rain with these features. For now it looks like we could see a couple of inches of rain. Especially right near the coast. Also, we may have some breezy winds during the day. The front should push offshore by Monday. We’ll be drying out through the day. It will be cool with highs in the 60s again.
On Tuesday things look good for during the day on Halloween. We’ll be partly cloudy with highs in the 60s. It looks dry for the evening for trick-or-treaters. Temps will probably be in the 50s and low 60s, but I’ll update that as it gets closer.
In the tropics there is still that weak disturbance near central America. It is slowly drifting north. It has a 40% chance for development over the next few days.
Whether it forms into a tropical system or now it could bring some heavy rain to Cuba. Afterward it will roll northward along the front. I don’t think it will be the main low, near our region. Rather I think the moisture form that tropical low will aid in forming heavy rain along the coast. A new low will probably form over our region. That non-tropical (aka baroclinic) low will strengthen as it moves into the northeast states. Stay tuned for updates as a few things could change concerning the Sunday forecast.
In national news. After some warm air in the west, a punch of colder air will move southward. In fact parts of the Midwest could see some light snow. It’s way too early for that here, but it will be interesting to see how cold we get in November. Stay tuned!
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler