Irma Impacts Florida Today…Locally, a “Fall-Like” Weekend

FUTURE TRAK - IRMA FORECAST TUESDAY MORNING

Irma was a little weaker this morning with winds that dropped to 130mph as of the 8AM Advisory from the National Hurricane Center.  Its interaction with land did help to slightly weaken it compared to how strong it was yesterday.

SATELLITE- IRMA FROM THIS MORNING

 

Regardless, it’s expected to impact South Florida as a Major Hurricane over the next 24 hours as it takes a turn to the north later tonight. The rain bands from Irma impacted areas across the Florida Keys & SE FL very early this morning with deteriorating conditions expected for the state from (South to North) thru Monday Morning. Deadly Storm Surge flooding up to nearly 12FEET is possible in some areas with nearly 12″ of rainfall not ruled out for parts of FL.  The current forecast track has Irma across Georgia by Monday afternoon, and it’ll weaken due to its land interaction & lack of warm water to fuel it. Eventually by Tuesday into Wed, it’ll be across the TN Valley as possibly a tropical depression then transitioning to a non-tropical system.  It’ll drop heavy rain along its path.

FORECAST TRACK OF IRMA FROM THE 8AM ADVISORY

 

Wind will also follow it pretty far inland.  The graphic below shows the probability of Hurricane force winds…and a 50-50 chance of Hurricane force winds for North FL by Monday night.

WIND PROBABILITY FORECAST- HURRICANE FORCE

 

The probability of Tropical Storm force winds will be around 50% as far north as Atlanta by Tuesday.

WIND PROBABILITY FORECAST- TROPICAL STORM FORCE

 

Our local area shouldn’t experience any major impacts from Irma, but the pressure difference between Irma’s low pressure center and High pressure to our north will lead to breezy conditions early next week.

FUTURE TRAK – IRMA FORECAST MONDAY MORNING

 

So, Monday into Tuesday…winds will be sustained anywhere from 15-25mph Gusting to around 35mph.  You may want to secure loose items in your yard or on your porch by Sunday night. The breezy wind will be out of the ENE direction…and Nuisance to near Minor tidal flooding will be possible for Monday and Tuesday’s high tides.  Stay tuned…

FUTURE TRAK – IRMA FORECAST TUESDAY MORNING

 

Also, as Irma’s circulation moves across GA, it’s rain bands will begin to move further away from its core as it begins to transition to a non-tropical system.  So, plan on rain for late Monday into Tuesday across the Tidewater Area.

RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEK

 

As of now, it looks like an inch of rain or less is possible for our area…however, stay tuned…that could go up.

BOTTOM LINE

So, Bottom Line… our impacts from Irma still look to be minimal. Expect rain late Monday into Tuesday, breezy conditions, and some Nuisance to Minor Tidal flooding.  Until then, BEAUTIFUL WEATHER will dominate our area this weekend as High Pressure has a firm grip on our Region.  It’ll be cooler than average by 5-10°…but I don’t think many of you will complain.

 

BEACH FORECAST – HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THIS WEEKEND

 

The only issue is that there will be a High Rip Current risk all weekend long.  So, expect the red flags to fly at area beaches.  This means it’s dangerous to get in the water for swimming.

SATELLITE- JOSE

 

Aside from Irma, there is also a major hurricane known as Jose (graphic above) in the Tropical Atlantic.  Unfortunately, as of this morning, it was moving toward the Leeward Islands (the same areas devastated by Irma).

SPAGHETTI PLOTS – JOSE

 

Once it moves by the leeward islands, it’s expected to continue to move NW…but then loop around and meander NE of the Bahamas.  This storm will need to be watched…stay tuned.  As for Katia, it made landfall across Mexico last night.

 

Get the latest forecast updates on Irma, Jose, and your local weather tonight with Meteorologist Ashley Baylor on WAVY NEWS 10 AND FOX43.

 

Meteorologist Deitra Tate

 

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