More & More Sunshine by Sunday…Watching Monday’s Weather

TODAY'S WEATHER PATTERN

Mainly cloudy skies will dominate our morning, but expect decreasing clouds by late afternoon into the evening as a cold front moves out of our area.

TODAY’S WEATHER PATTERN

Ahead of the front, it’s very muggy with dew points in the low 70s.  However, notice the 60s (and even 50s) to our west. That’s affiliated with drier air that’ll settle into our area by tomorrow. So, Sunday will be very comfortable!

DEW POINTS FROM THIS AM

 

The previously mentioned cold front will also bring a chance for isolated showers today.  Everyone will not get wet, and the coverage for showers will be very hit and miss.

FUTURE TRAK FORECAST- THIS AFTERNOON

 

So, I don’t think that anyone’s outdoor plans will be washed-out….just maybe briefly interrupted if you catch a shower. Most of Hampton Roads won’t see a shower after 2-3pm, but NE North Carolina could have a small chance for showers thru about 6pm as the cold front lags across the state.  Regardless, the cold front clears all of the Tidewater Area by Sunday. So, get ready for a beautiful day with lots of sunshine & lower humidity.  A warm front will slide north across our area by Monday morning…bringing rain to start the workweek.

FUTURE TRAK FORECAST- MONDAY

 

We’ll be under what’s called the “Warm Sector”, and the atmosphere will be conducive for scattered showers & storms…some of which could reach severe limits.

SEVERE RISK ZONE- MONDAY

 

Therefore, most of Hampton Roads sits under a Slight Risk for Severe Storms on Monday. Damaging wind and hail are the primary risks, but isolated tornadoes will also be possible based on the atmospheric set up. Continue to watch WAVY this weekend for updates on Monday’s severe risk.   Temperatures this weekend will be seasonable, but Sunday will “feel” more comfy due to lower humidity behind the cold front.

TEMPERATURE TREND

 

It gets a bit hotter Monday as we sit under a warm front and the southerly winds return. Heat index Values Monday could reach the Mid 90s.  We are watching 2 areas in the tropics:  1st area is the in the Caribbean Sea, and it’s called INVEST 90L.

 

SPAGHETTI PLOTS – INVEST 90L- 5 DAY PLOTS

 

This system is poorly organized, and the forecast spaghetti plots (above) show that its path may clip land a couple of times. This land interaction will help hinder its development along with some wind shear…so, it only has a moderate chance for development over the next several days.

SPAGHETTI PLOTS – 5 DAY FORECAST

 

Another disturbance is called INVEST 99L, and it’s across the tropical Atlantic (just SW of the Cape Verde Islands).  This has a more likely chance to develop over the next 5 days, and a lot of the forecast models agree on it taking a more WNW track…possibly threatening Puerto Rico this upcoming week. It’s way too early to know if it’ll impact our area; so, stay tuned.   There is some dry air hindering Invest 99L’s development in the short-term, but conditions become more favorable for development over the next 5 days.  The next name up is Franklin.

 

Watch Meteorologist Ashley Baylor tonight for more on your forecast…

Enjoy your Saturday & weekend!

 

Meteorologist Deitra Tate

 

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