A Very Muggy Father’s Day Weekend, but Some Rain Relief

HEAT INDEX FORECAST- FATHERS DAY

Get ready for a VERY MUGGY Father’s Day Weekend. Below are the dew point temps from this morning, and notice they were well into the 70s!  Over 70 degree dew points make it feel oppressive, like a sauna, and tropical-like outside.

TROPICAL-LIKE ATMOSPHERE – TODAY

 

As temps continue to climb into the Mid-Upper 80s this afternoon, it’s going to FEEL like it’s in the low 90s when you factor in the humidity:

HEAT INDEX FORECAST- THIS AFTERNOON

 

Father’s Day will bring actual highs in the Upper 80s / near 90 degrees, but it’ll FEEL like “Upper 90s” with the humidity:

HEAT INDEX FORECAST- FATHER’S DAY

 

Then, the heat only continues to build into Monday.  Highs for Monday will reach around 90 degrees, but it’ll once again FEEL like it’s in the upper 90s (around 100 degrees) with the humidity factored in:

HEAT INDEX FORECAST- MONDAY

 

All of this heat and low-level moisture is being pumped in on a SSW wind that’ll dominate through the weekend.

TODAY’S WEATHER PATTERN

 

With the abundance of moisture and the hot temperatures, the instability will increase through the afternoon…helping to create scattered showers and storms later today…helping with rain relief.

 

FUTURE TRAK FORCAST- RAIN EARLY AFTERNOON

 

The best timing for rain will be now thru around 7PM. Gusty winds, small hail, and heavy downpours are possible.  Easily, up to an inch of rain can fall in a short amount of time if you get caught under a slow moving shower or storm. Since the pattern won’t change too much for Father’s Day, expect a similar forecast with afternoon showers. So, make sure Dad has an umbrella for any outdoor plans you may have for him.

FUTURE TRAK FORCAST- RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON

 

The threat for rain follows us into Monday, but a cold front will be moving into our Region by Monday afternoon. This added element along with some upper level support will increase the chance for some possible severe storms.  As of now, there’s a Slight Risk for severe storms for parts of the area (shaded in Yellow)…with a lower risk for the rest of the area.  However, the risks are damaging wind, hail, and even isolated tornadoes.

SEVERE RISK ZONE FOR MONDAY

 

So, stay tuned for updates on Monday’s forecast.   Also, stay tuned for updates on the Tropics:

INVEST 92L

 

We’re watching an area of disturbed weather (Invest 92L) well SE of the Lesser Antilles, but it’s forecast to move WNW…potentially surviving long enough to make it into the warm Caribbean Sea. However, it doesn’t look to be a threat to the Eastern US regardless of what it becomes.  There’s also a disturbance near the Yucatan Peninsula…

 

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO WATCH

…this disturbance is one to watch closely because some reliable models do try to develop this one in the Gulf by early next week.  We’ll continue to monitor this and bring updates.  The next name on the list is Bret.

 

Have a wonderful Weekend, and Happy Father’s Day to all of the Dads.

 

Meteorologist Deitra Tate

 

 

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